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Glossary · from the DESK dictionary

Yield Curve

A graphical representation of the yields of bonds of equal credit quality across different maturities.

In plain words

Shows whether short-term or long-term bonds currently offer more yield.

In more detail

The yield curve plots yields of one issuer's bonds across maturities. It is the single most important picture in financial analysis, because expectations for monetary policy, growth and inflation can be read from it. For practical work three movements must be distinguished: parallel shift, change in slope and change in curvature — each has different causes and different consequences for a bond portfolio.

Example

A portfolio is immunised against parallel shifts. The curve does not shift in parallel but steepens — the portfolio loses 2.8 percent although duration was correctly hedged.

What it means for traders

One of the single most closely watched macroeconomic chart patterns there is.

Common pitfalls

Historically reliable as a recession indicator, but with a variable and sometimes very long lead time.

Related terms

Bear Flattener · Bear Steepener · Bull Flattener · Carry Trade · Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators · Duration · Inverted Yield Curve · Policy Rate · Principal Component Analysis (PCA) · Yield · Term Premium · Yield to Maturity (YTM)

From the DESK dictionary. For information only, not investment advice.

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DESK is a research tool and not investment advice. Page generated: 2026-10-12.