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DESK weekly report · Week 40 · 2026

Yields rise, euro weakens

28 Sept – 2 October 2026 · 3 October 2026 · PDF · Deutsch

Weak US jobs data

The US 10-year yield closed the week at 5.28%, close to its 52-week high. EUR/USD fell to 1.1225, its 52-week low. US data showed slower hiring and a higher unemployment rate.

Markets

Markets: yields up, euro at low

The US 10-year yield rose 11 basis points to 5.28%. The 2-year yield rose 2 basis points to 4.83%. EUR/USD fell 1.6% to 1.1225, matching its 52-week low.

Bitcoin was at 84,549 $, up 0.6%.

MarketLevelWeek52 weeks
US 2-year yield4.83 %+2 bp3.38 – 4.92
US 10-year yield5.28 %+11 bp3.97 – 5.29
EUR/USD1.1225−1.6 %1.1225 – 1.1974
Bitcoin84,549 $+0.6 %58,548 – 125,083

As of 2 Oct · U.S. Treasury, ECB, mempool.space

Markets

EUR/USD · 90 days
Jul 3, 20261.1225 – 1.1699Oct 2, 2026

ECB

Data releases

Data: growth firm, jobs soft

Payrolls at 29K, unemployment 4.2%

Final US GDP for the quarter came in at 2.2%, against 1.5% before. Core PCE prices rose 0.2% m/m, after 0.1%.

Non-farm employment rose by 29K, against 133K before. The unemployment rate was 4.2%, up from 4.1%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.1% m/m, after 0.3%. JOLTS job openings were 7.1M, down from 7.3M.

DayReleaseActualForecastPrevious
29 SeptUSD · JOLTS Job Openings7.1M—7.3M
30 SeptUSD · Final GDP q/q2.2%—1.5%
30 SeptUSD · Core PCE Price Index m/m0.2%—0.1%
2 OctUSD · Non-Farm Employment Change29K—133K
2 OctUSD · Unemployment Rate4.2%—4.1%
2 OctUSD · Average Hourly Earnings m/m0.1%—0.3%

Official releases (BLS, BEA, Census, Fed, EIA and others)

Sanctions

Mexico: new sanctions listings

OFAC count up by 48

The OFAC count for Mexico stands at 1,220 entries. That is 48 more since 21 September. The EU count is 0 and unchanged.

Company filing

Getty Images files listing notice

SEC Form 8-K, item 3.01

Getty Images filed an 8-K on 1 October under item 3.01. The item covers notice of delisting or failure to satisfy a continued listing rule or standard. No further details are in the data.

Next week

Next week: FOMC minutes

Trade balance and oil inventories also due

The FOMC meeting minutes are due on 7 October and are rated high importance. The US trade balance follows on 6 October. Crude oil inventories are due on 7 October and unemployment claims on 8 October.

DayReleaseForecastPrevious
6 OctUSD · Trade Balance——
7 OctUSD · Crude Oil Inventories——
7 OctUSD · FOMC Meeting Minutes——
8 OctUSD · Unemployment Claims——

Sources

U.S. Department of the Treasury · European Central Bank · mempool.space · GDELT Project · BLS, BEA, U.S. Census Bureau, Federal Reserve · DESK Radar

DESK reports summarise public data and reports by third parties. They are not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Figures as of the dates stated; texts written with AI assistance from the data shown and checked against it.

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